1960～2010年宜良县降雨量和蒸发量变化特征分析

利用宜良县1960～2010年的年降水量和小型蒸发量资料,采用线性趋势、干燥度等统计学方法,分析近51年宜良县降雨量和蒸发量的变化特征.结果表明,1960～ 2010年宜良县降雨量和蒸发量均在逐年减小,特别是21世纪以来降雨量和蒸发量均减少,可利用水资源较少.宜良县降雨主要集中在5～10月,蒸发主要集中在3～9月,其中3～5月降雨量较少,而蒸发对水的消耗比较明显,气候比较干燥,容易发生春旱;10 ～11月蒸发对水的消耗比较小,而这个阶段降水也比较少,也容易发生秋旱.     

泵闸建设对白莲泾河段水质的影响

2007年4月-2009年4月对上海白莲泾河段水体环境质量进行了调查,取黄浦江南码头上1个断面和白莲泾上的3个断面,于每月大、小潮当日采集各断面水样,获得了该河段的各项水质指标。2007年10月,白莲泾河道断流,泵闸工程实施。根据监测结果,以DO、BOD₅、COD_Mn、TN和TP为指标参数,利用标准类别指数评价法对建闸工程施工活动的环境影响进行评价,结果发现:TN、TP是白莲泾河段的最主要污染指标,TN的权重系数均超过40%,甚至50%,均为劣Ⅴ类;TP的权重系数均超过10%,甚至30%,其含量是地表水Ⅳ类标准的0.8~5.6倍。总体上,白莲泾河段3个站点的水质劣于黄浦江站点,而施工前水质优于施工后。施工前,大潮期白莲泾河道IV类水比例为29%,较小潮期(8%)高出21%。建闸施工后,大小潮期间出现劣V类水的比例分别为87%和88%,潮汐对白莲泾河段并无显著影响。     

Environmental Change and the Sustainability of European Forests

Summary

It is some years now since forest decline was a major public concern in Europe and was one of the principal environmental issues around which international research programs were focused. A number of internationally coordinated activities were initiated in the 1980s and 1990s and have continued until now; these contributed significantly to our current understanding of forestry and to the way in which forestry policies have developed. In short, the concept of sustainable development has had an increasing influence and is now of immeasurable value in forest policy, with sustainable forest management well established as its guiding principle. This sequence of events is examined here. The extent to which understanding has advanced is remarkable; much has changed. Arguably this period gave the first indication of the extent to which forests and ecosystems globally are threatened by environmental change. On the basis of the last 20 years, it is tempting to conclude that we now have an effective institutional framework and have made excellent progress. However, some of the recorded ecosystem responses seem anomalous; there are surprises in system responses, e.g., the linkage between sulphur and nitrogen depositions and forest growth. Even more importantly some specific pollutant problems remain and will intensify, and climate change has become an environmental issue of overwhelming importance.     

祁连山南麓高寒灌丛GPP变化特征及对生长季积温的响应

全球气候变化背景下气温逐渐升高,将会对陆地生态系统碳循环产生重要影响。研究利用2003?2016年的涡度相关系统观测资料,研究了祁连山南麓高寒灌丛生长季(5月?9月)总初级生产力(gross primary productivity,GPP)在不同时间尺度上对生长季有效积温(growing season degree days,GDD)的响应,对于研究气候变暖对高寒生态系统碳循环的影响有重要意义。结果表明:高寒灌丛生态系统在生长季的月GPP、GDD都表现为先增大后减小的单峰变化趋势,都在7月或8月达到峰值,在5月达到最小值。在整个生长季尺度上,GPP与GDD具有较高变异性,但整体上表现为逐渐增加的趋势(P<0.05)。2003?2016年整个生长季GPP与GDD的均值分别为507.11 g·m^?2和975.93℃。在月尺度和生长季尺度上,GPP与GDD都呈显著正相关关系(P<0.05)。但是,通过比较生长季每个月GPP与GDD的关系发现,5、9月的GPP与GDD没有显著相关性(P>0.05),而在7月相关性最为显著(P<0.01)。整体上看,高寒灌丛生态系统植被的总初级生产力与热量条件表现为正相关关系,由此说明在全球气候变暖的背景下,青藏高原高寒灌丛生态系统植被的光合生产能力将会提高。     

气候变暖对新疆不同秋眠级紫花苜蓿种植适宜性的影响

基于新疆102个气象台站1961?2019年逐日平均气温、最低气温资料,采用统计学方法以及ArcGIS的空间插值技术,在对影响新疆紫花苜蓿种植的主要气候因子 ≥ 5 ℃积温、冬季最低气温时空变化特征分析的基础上,以80%保证率 ≥ 5 ℃积温和90%保证率冬季最低气温作为指标因子,研究了气候变暖背景下,新疆不同秋眠级紫花苜蓿种植气候适宜性的变化。结果表明：新疆80%保证率 ≥ 5 ℃积温和90%保证率冬季最低气温的空间分布总体呈现“南疆多(高),北疆少(低);平原多(高),山区少(低)”的格局。受上述两指标要素空间分异的综合影响,秋眠级4～6级紫花苜蓿适宜种植区主要分布在南疆的塔里木盆地以及东疆的吐鲁番盆地和哈密盆地;秋眠级2～3级紫花苜蓿适宜种植区分布在塔里木盆地、吐鲁番盆地和哈密盆地周边山前倾斜平原,伊犁河谷以及准噶尔盆地西部和东部的低平原地带;秋眠级1～2级紫花苜蓿适宜种植区分布在北疆北部、西部,准噶尔盆地腹地以及天山和昆仑山中、低山带;阿尔泰山、天山和昆仑山区大部为紫花苜蓿不适宜种植区。影响不同秋眠级紫花苜蓿种植的主导因子不同,秋眠级4～6级紫花苜蓿适宜种植区以及紫花苜蓿不宜种植区主要受80%保证率 ≥ 5 ℃积温的影响;秋眠级1～2级和2～3级紫花苜蓿适宜种植区主要受90%保证率冬季最低气温的影响。在全球变暖背景下,近59年新疆 ≥ 5 ℃积温和冬季最低气温分别以65.52 (℃·d)·10 a?1和0.63 ℃·10 a?1的倾向率呈极显著(P < 0.001)上升趋势,80%保证率 ≥ 5 ℃积温和90%保证率冬季最低气温也总体增多或升高,但其变化具有阶段性差异,时段Ⅰ (1961–1980年) 80%保证率 ≥ 5 ℃积温和90%保证率冬季最低气温为近59年最低时期;时段Ⅱ(1981?2000年)较时段Ⅰ的90%保证率冬季最低气温升高2.9 ℃,但80%保证率 ≥ 5 ℃积温变化不大;时段Ⅲ(2001?2019年)较时段Ⅱ的90%保证率冬季最低气温不升反降0.8 ℃,而80%保证率 ≥ 5 ℃积温增加147.0 ℃·d。受上述气候要素变化的影响,近59年新疆秋眠级4～6级和2～3级紫花苜蓿适宜种植区呈扩大趋势,而秋眠级1～2级紫花苜蓿适宜种植区及紫花苜蓿不宜种植区呈减小趋势。这表明气候变暖对新疆紫花苜蓿种植的发展总体趋于有利。     

2011-2020年夏季全国草原净初级生产力时空变化及其气象影响评估

为评估2011—2020年夏季全国草地净初级生产力时空变化以及气象条件对净初级生产力的影响,本研究依据气象站逐日气象观测资料以及中分辨率成像光谱(Moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer,MODIS)系列卫星资料遥感数据,分析了近10年夏季全国草地净初级生产力变化。结果表明:2011—2020年夏季全国草原净初级生产力总体呈现增加趋势,平均每年增加0.2 gC·m^-2·a^-1,内蒙古中部、甘肃东部、青海东部、西藏东部等地近10年草原净初级生产力明显增加。近10年全国大部草原区平均气温和降水量均呈增加趋势,较好的气象条件利于夏季牧草生长。2020年夏季全国草原区的气温和降水量也较常年偏高,北方草原区草地平均净初级生产力为121.3 gC·m^-2·夏季^-1,为近10年偏好年份。2011—2020年夏季全国草原净初级生产力呈增加趋势,较好的气象条件对其贡献较大。     

Thermal biology and locomotor performance in Phymaturus calcogaster: are Patagonian lizards vulnerable to climate change?

Behavioral and physiological traits of ectotherms are especially sensitive to fluctuations of environmental temperature. In particular, niche-specialist lizards are dependent on their physiological plasticity to adjust to changing environmental conditions. Lizards of the genus Phymaturus are viviparous, mainly herbivorous, and inhabit only rock promontories in the steppe environments of Patagonia and the Andes. Herein, we examine the vulnerability of the southernmost Phymaturus species to global warming: the endemic Phymaturus calcogaster, which lives in a mesic environment in eastern Patagonia. We studied body temperatures in the field (T_b), preferred body temperatures in a thermogradient (T_pref), the operative (T_e) and environmental temperatures, and the dependence of running performance on body temperature. P. calcogaster had a mean T_b (27.04°C) and a mean T_e (31.15°C) both lower than their preferred temperature (T_pref = 36.61°C) and the optimal temperature for running performance (T_o = 37.13°C). Lizard activity seems to be restraint during the early afternoon due high environmental temperatures. However, both, the high safety margin and warming tolerance suggest that the expected increase in environmental temperatures due to global warming (IPCC report in 2018) would not threaten, but indeed enhance locomotor performance in this population.     

非充分灌溉条件下水稻生长发育及生理机制研究

本文以水稻非充分灌溉试验的大量实测资料为基础，分析了水分胁迫对水稻主要形态指标、生理机制及产量的影响，对非充分灌溉条件下水稻所持有的生理机制进行了较细致的研究。研究结果对于指导有效、省水的稻田灌溉具有重要意义。